Donald D. Hoffman (What to think about machines that think)

Donald D. Hoffman explores the potential ways in which artificial intelligences (AIs) might think, feel, and evolve, drawing from the diversity of natural intelligences found in the biological world. He highlights the following key points:

1.   Variety of Intelligence  : Hoffman suggests that AIs could exhibit a wide range of thinking and feeling capabilities, much like the natural intelligences found in biological systems. He emphasizes that our understanding of intelligence should not be limited to a human-centric perspective.

2.   Alien and Familiar  : The author presents examples of natural intelligences in animals, like the female mantis using sexual deception to catch prey or the blue-footed booby chick engaging in siblicide. These examples challenge our norms of empathy, society, and morality.

3.   Limits of Intelligence  : Hoffman discusses how both natural and human intelligences have their limits. He mentions instances of human limitations, such as irrational economic choices or functional fixedness in problem-solving. These limits can drive evolution and adaptation.

4.   Evolution of AIs  : As computing resources expand and become more interconnected, AIs may enter an evolutionary arms race, competing and evolving in various niches. While we cannot predict the exact outcomes, surprises and strengths in AI evolution are expected.

5.   Risks and Opportunities  : The author suggests that the evolution of AIs presents both risks and opportunities, similar to biological evolution. Prudence, rather than alarm, is recommended to navigate these challenges, just as we do with natural intelligences.

6.   Future of AIs  : While acknowledging potential risks, Hoffman believes that AIs are more likely to be a source of awe, insight, inspiration, and profit rather than a cause of human extinction. He suggests that AIs will play a significant role in the future but are not an imminent existential threat.

In summary, Donald D. Hoffman encourages a broader perspective on intelligence, drawing from the variety of natural intelligences, and advocates for prudence in navigating the evolving landscape of artificial intelligences. He expresses optimism about the role of AIs in the future of humanity.

"A gilded No is more satisfactory than a dry yes" - Gracian