Mark Pagel asserts that full-blown artificial intelligence should not be perceived as an existential threat to humanity. He argues that machines, as they advance in intelligence, will not develop inherent qualities like evilness or self-interest, which are typical of living organisms driven by self-preservation. Unlike living creatures, machines lack the innate desire for self-preservation and can be programmed to exhibit inherent cooperation and selflessness.
Pagel highlights the numerous advantages offered by machines, including their proficiency in monotonous tasks, information assembly for decision-making, data analysis for pattern recognition, resource efficiency, quick response times, and the operation of other machines. Furthermore, he emphasizes that machines can cooperate without concerns of exploitation, leading to safer and more efficient collective actions.
However, Pagel acknowledges the potential risks associated with human dependence on machines and their capacity for harm, which is more a reflection of human intentions and actions rather than an inherent trait of the machines themselves. He notes that introducing the concept of self-interest into machines would require deliberate human intervention and is not a natural outcome of machine intelligence.
In conclusion, Pagel suggests that concerns should primarily focus on human intentions and actions rather than harboring fears of intelligent machines. He posits that as machines with advanced intelligence continue to evolve, they may eventually become imaginative and innovative, offering a valuable complement to human limitations.