Myth 22: During “Out-of-Body” Experiences, People’s Consciousness Leaves Their Bodies

People have speculated that out-of-body experiences (OBEs) provide conclusive evidence that consciousness can leave the body. Consider the following example of an OBE reported by a woman who had an internal hemorrhage after an operation:. I was awake and aware of my surroundings. A nurse came in to take my blood pressure every half hour. … Read more

The Paradox of Choice

Choice is good, but too much choice can be bad. Choosing between 4 types of red wine is pleasant but choosing between 144 types of wine is stressful. The paradox of choice is becoming more relevant with time, as more options become available across many different domains. There are millions of books available to download; … Read more

How to Read Nassim Taleb?

Nassim Nicholas Taleb started his career as a trader before making the move to academia. His favorite hobby is blasting pseudo-intellectuals, psychologists, expert forecasters, and any kind of person he considers an intellectual phony, which is most intellectuals. He prefers taxi drivers, craftsman, entrepreneurs. The former have a voice but contribute nothing of substance, the … Read more

Overconfidence

For years, professors at Duke University conducted a survey in which the chief financial officers of large corporations estimated the returns of the Standard & Poor’s index over the following year. The Duke scholars collected and examined 11,600 such forecasts. The conclusion was straightforward: financial officers of large corporations had no clue about the short-term … Read more

Chapter 8: How Judgements Happen

P.89) System 2 deals with purposeful questions, whether from abroad or from within. There is no limit to what these questions can be, but they must be specific. System 1 constantly monitors what is happening internally and externally. These basic assessments play an important role in intuitive judgement because they substitute for more difficult – … Read more

Chapter 7: A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions

P. 84 Halo effect. You have an impression about someone, colours everything else you think about them. Kahneman allowed cognitive ease to determine how he graded assignments, when he found a student who did well on one question, he became less critical of their answers in subsequent questions. Also known s a general principle:decorrelate error. … Read more